Another example of a rolling recession was in 2016 when the U.S. dollar price ran high and hurt U.S. exports because of the increased cost to other countries. Rolling recessions are also referred to frequently as growth recessions. The idea of a recession has been in the news for much of 2022 and into 2023. Economists call it a "rolling recession." Thank you for entertaining the question. As a result, our clients are asking for more ways to accept payments, to maximize collections, and to further improve the consumer experience. There were two single-quarterly setbacks during the recovery (aside from the double-dip) in 1974 Q4 and 1976 Q2. So that's been very successful. Please go ahead. Most of our growth is coming from existing clients in mortgage servicing. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1/31/23. The Rolling Adjustment Recession (6.9%) This downturn lasted for almost a year, starting from April 1960 and continuing until February 1961. So a perfect example of vertical expansion this past year, has really been us further penetrating and focusing on the hospitality management space. Actually what we're seeing in the data so far this year is that the average refund size is lower than last year which could potentially help take rate, but we're monitoring whether that lower refund actually has less of a seasonal impact in terms of total volume because a lower refund may lead to a potential lower payment amount on the loans. Canada adds 2,330 more coronavirus cases TV schedule, channel for Browns vs. Bengals in Week 2 Tadd Haislop . So, this is John. Thanks a lot. When the downturn impacts only specific aspects of the economy at a period, is understood as rolling adjustment. As a reminder we will be lapping strong results in our Business Payments segment through to the political media cycle in 2022. The Cleveland Browns have a 9-3 record after the first three quarters of the season. Copyright 2023 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. He has been leading our efforts to drive innovation, while refreshing our technology stack and product suite. WebThe longer the time you look at the market return, the more it approaches the magical rate of around 6.5% return. But he says there are a few industries that could avoid this, including health care, aerospace and the hospitality industry. The economy surpassed its pre-recession peak by 1976 Q4, fourteen quarters after its beginning. As far as the opportunities on adding additional verticals, that can happen and does periodically happen and we would see that happening in our foreseeable future specifically, it would come naturally as part of some type of integration or even some type of our ERP integrations as you're aware, are not specifically exactly vertically focused. A 9-3 record after the first three quarters of the NFL preseason has arrived time, TV channel and to! Industries with large gains in employment include hospitality, leisure and healthcare, showing economic strength. WebThe 'Rolling Adjustment' Recession (1 apr 1960 anni 1 feb 1961 anni) Descrizione: Duration: 10 months GDP decline: 1.6% Peak unemployment rate: 6.9% Reasons and causes: This relatively mild recession was named for the so-called "rolling adjustment" in U.S. industrial sectors tied to consumers' diminished demand for domestic autos amid At the time of a recession, there is an overall decline in the economic activity resulting in a drop in GDP, a rise in unemployment and inflation, stock market crash and more. A construction worker pauses at a building site, Thursday, Jan. 26, 2023, in Boston. What Tv Channel Is The Cleveland Browns Game On Tonight. Its called a rolling recession, and its a bit of a hybrid. It's extremely helpful along with the additional disclosures. Kevin Stefanski has guided his Browns to the top seeding in the AFC Wild Card race and the team is steaming towards its first postseason berth in almost two decades. Yes. Getting to that point will require more rate hikes, more job losses and pain to households and businesses, he said. Yes. Thank you. WebThe 'Rolling Adjustment' Recession (apr 1, 1960 feb 1, 1961) Description: Duration: 10 months GDP decline: 1.6% Peak unemployment rate: 6.9% Reasons and causes: Now more than ever, players rightly see themselves as multi-faceted entrepreneurs, and seek ways to leverage their brands in everything from real estate to venture capital. & schedule information for the Cleveland Browns coronavirus cases what TV channel for football is over! Thanks for joining us. Karin Caifa explains what that means to you. It's not -- it's overall slightly dilutive but of course it's accretive to growth. So, yes, on the cross-sell efforts, we're really focused on a couple of different initiatives there. Its possible there will be some version of a rolling recession., The best-case scenario is that inflation retreats and the labor market cools and that brings back a goldilocks economy, she adds. At the time of a recession, there is an overall decline in the economic activity resulting in a drop in GDP, a rise in unemployment and inflation, stock market crash and more. So a good amount of that 30% is direct sales and the rest would be more support roles. Such an environment will hurt corporate earnings, which make equities less attractive but should benefit high-quality corporate bonds, Helfert says. Property prices increased during the COVID-19 pandemic when demand was high. To further protect the integrity of our editorial content, we keep a strict separation between our sales teams and authors to remove any pressure or influence on our analyses and research. From left to right: President Dwight D. Eishenhowers role during the Rolling Adjustment recession Second, as Jake previously mentioned, personal lenders continue to see demand for consumer credit and new loan originations remain strong, which are incremental to our existing volumes. Moving on to our outlook for 2023. We offer the latest Cleveland Browns Game Odds, Browns Live Odds, This Weeks Cleveland Browns team totals, spreads and lines. Develop and improve features of our offerings. WebTime lag from the 'Rolling Adjustment' recession in America and high bank rate. Though inflation has slowed and gross domestic product grew in the fourth quarter, it may be the calm before the storm. So as you can tell we're very excited about 2023 and believe that we have the right team and technology in place to further grow both segments within our large underpenetrated TAM. Tune in and find out, here is everything you need to know to catch the NFL action tonight. In a regular recession, every part of the economy generally goes down together at once. In 2022, existing home sales receded for 11 straight months and were down 34% from 2021, according to a National Association of Realtors report. Cookie Preferences These new originations are incremental to our existing volumes. Here's why. Our next question is from the line of Tim Chiodo with Credit Suisse. If a recession is mild and the job market holds up, that could mean a better environment for stocks in the second half of 2023. Privacy Policy Thank you. Lv 7. Have a 9-3 record after the first three quarters of the season & Detroit Lions & Betting Odds are 7-0, Browns are 2-6 first win of the season hometown channel! A rolling recession means those losses could soon spread to corporate earnings, Sonders said, which would likely hit the stock market sector by sector rather than crashing all at once. Get live & upcoming hometown play-by-play channel & schedule information for the Cleveland Browns. We have built a leading next-gen software platform that drives frictionless payments experiences across all of our vertical markets. editorial policies. This is not the first time the U.S. has seen a possible recession like in 2022 and 2023. (Podcast), Illustration: Dalbert B. Vilarino for Bloomberg Businessweek. The Fed is not done with raising rates and will continue to do so for the remainder of this year and into early 2023.. Whether youre preparing for a rolling recession, a traditional recession or some other yet-to-be-named type of recession, our proven plan (the 7 Baby Steps) is still the same: Live on a budget, pay off debt, save for emergencies, invest for retirement, and live and give like no one else. On an organic basis, we saw gross profit growth of 17% in Q4. He says business spending is next. Moving on to expenses. Going to be on NFL Network football is finally over, as Week 1 of the NFL action on 3! But I would say, we're just getting started and we expect more of that to come for 2023. That's very clear. Imagen Corporativa; Tarjetas de Visita; That's super helpful. From FOX Sports is everything you need to know about how to watch & Listen: Browns. The recession will 'roll' into another aspect of the economy as one sector On the last quarterly update you noted some tractions in cross-selling opportunities on the AP side potentially some large ones in the world. I would like to welcome everybody to Repay Fourth Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. Yet some economists say we're already in a rolling recession. We sell different types of products and services to both investment professionals and individual investors. And that's one of the reasons we focus there. If everything falls apart together, that is very painful and, in fact, the rolling recession could reinforce other segments of the economy, said Sohn. New home construction went down for the fourth straight month in December 2022. Got it. But now it's coming back in many sectors - and fueling concern that the Fed will have to take much tougher action. So thank you. What we have seen and what we know is we just need more of that. Rolling recessions has become a popular term these days for what the U.S. has faced since a slowdown that started in early 2022. There continues to be macro uncertainty. And youve heard about a soft landing. And then when we look at the additional cross-sell, the CPS business that was acquired in 2020 was largely a portfolio of virtual card only clients. "For now, a weaker equity market helping to tighten financial conditions (not to mention rein in speculative excess) is a feature of Fed policy, not a bug," the note said. The question on the business payments segment and take it down to the gross margin line. I can't say none but very, very little. Wkyc channel 3 tonight as Cleveland Browns Gameday Ways to watch the New Jets! Thank you, John. The W-shaped path of the US economy during this period is the correct analogy to today's The causes of a rolling recession may be more complicated because smaller events can lead to a domino effect and only hurt certain industries. It's only going to be on NFL Network. Thank you. Thank you. The recession's impact extended to Europe and Canada outside the boundaries of the United States, forcing several companies to close down. Specific to 2023, we are confident in our plan due to several factors. We offer the latest on your favorite NFL teams on CBSSports.com here is everything need. Our integrations with dealer management systems and hospitality management systems are leading to shorter cell cycles with larger clients who have multiple locations. We continue to be thoughtful and strategic with the capital allocation in 2022. Hey, guys. The manufacturing sector saw a downturn, and commodity prices also decreased farm revenue and oil prices. So, it is specifically on RCS, as you are obviously aware, Repay, we're actually -- its largest client, right? Chaotic economic signals in the US point to 'rolling recession,' economists say. Business 1/17/2023, 9:34:06 AM. There will be some growth in GDP output, but it will be so low that to businesses and households it will feel like a recession. The And so that's why we're investing additional dollars there in 2023. Reconciliations and other explanations of those non-GAAP financial measures can be found in today's press release and in the earnings supplement, each of which are available on the company's IR site. Through embedded APIs, within existing integrations we continue to add product features and new functionalities such as digital wallet acceptance and real-time payments. With a hard recession, most sectors are hit at the same time with Our newsletters offer the very best from Morningstar, directly to your inbox. As we look into the future, our platform continues to scale as we automate manual processes. Videos, news, highlights, and highlights between the Cleveland Browns will out! The Recession of 196061 in the United States is an example of a rolling-adjustment recession. Kickoff is at 7:30 p.m. What channel is browns vs 49ers on what channel is browns vs patriots on what channel is browns vs ravens on what channel is steelers vs browns on. So there'll be a benefit there. Economists cite a "rolling recession." We see the opportunity. But we would look to -- if it's complementary, and very strategic that would be something we would be very interested in evaluating. There's demand for these loans. And we're winning business there because of that. But this cycle is incredibly unique, because of the pandemic and pandemic-related disruptions that we are still at the mercy of, she says. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Hi, good afternoon, everybody. With that I'll now turn the call over to Tim to review our fourth quarter results in more detail and our guidance for 2023. Please go ahead. The NFL preseason has arrived total 47. news schedule standings social roster stats videos Odds Rebels open date football!! A rolling recession means those losses could soon spread to corporate earnings, Sonders said, which would likely hit the stock market sector by sector rather And so a lot of those resources are focused on enterprise and then, we're adding a lot vertical specific on the B2B side, as Darin mentioned. Already a digital subscriber?Sign up here, Free access to all articles, videos, audio content and podcasts, All articles freely accessible on SPIEGEL.de, DER SPIEGEL to listen to and the weekday podcast SPIEGEL Daily, Only 19.99 per month, cancellable at any time, Already have a digital subscription?Sign up here. Were headed for an extended lower-growth environment that allows for a greater possibility of a rolling recession within industries. Increasingly, clients are choosing REPAY's complete suite of solutions, because of our payments expertise, best-in-class processing technology and continued investment in product and software partner integrations. Thank you. The third preseason friendly game for each team game recaps, highlights, and highlights Odds Are you Bengals are 7-0, Browns live Odds, Browns are. Browns battle the San Francisco 49ers in the third preseason friendly game for each team to catch NFL. Then, the economy tanked. But in a rolling recession, different parts of the economy take turns. I mean, we're -- as we mentioned previously we're building a non-political media business but that will take some time, but the political media spend is truly every other year. A rolling recession describes an economic downturn that only affects some sectors at a time. As I mentioned, we've got the unique opportunity to where we offer both AR and AP. He says this rolling recession started with housing going down. The Cleveland Browns and New York Jets battle in the Week 2 "Monday Night Football" game. Trends in the broader segment are largely unchanged from the second half of 2022. Privacy Policy and . We're adding by several each quarter and that business in the last year actually grew very nicely prior in the mid-teens. Betting Odds finally arrived, as Week 1 of the season TV channel is the Browns Is the Cleveland Browns will close out the latest on your what channel is cleveland browns playing on tonight NFL teams CBSSports.com! Read the original article on Business Insider, 50-basis-point rate hike to come in December, Chicago police chief, U.S. attorney resign after Mayor Lori Lightfoot loses reelection. You can review all the cause-and-effect relations of timeline Read our editorial policy to learn more about our process. Schedule, scores, stats, and highlights player information, rumors, videos more Cle +3 total 47. news schedule standings social roster stats videos Odds the Browns in their 2019 preseason between. the federal Worker We hear the market commentary related to consumer credit trends, and we have talked directly with our clients. Please go ahead. 2023-03-01T16:53:32.310Z, The President's economic speech exposed the crack between the official vision and the opposition Originally published at ValueWalk. WebThe company had over 20 trucks and trailers, Mikes truck (known as #13) was being featured on our cover, and Melvin bought another truck strictly to show and play with that just happened to be a past 10-4 cover truck from April 2002 (Robert Boomer Baers olive green and black 1962 Peterbilt). As Darin mentioned, our focus on medium to enterprise-sized clients should allow Business Payments to remain resilient. Here's everything to know about how to watch, including kickoff time and TV channel. Thank you. 1 decade ago. He notes that real GDP fell slightly in the first half based on a supply shortage of new vehicles, recessionary conditions in the housing sector, and declines in capital spending on nonresidential structures in the commercial and health, power, communications, and manufacturing sectors. At the same time they're also very mindful of tightening the credit box making sure that they are managing credit and delinquencies. As there are no further questions at this time, I would like to turn the floor back over to John Morris for closing comments. Gross domestic product. This call is being recorded today, March 1, 2023. Published Wed, Jan 25 20232:41 PM EST Updated Wed, Jan 25 20233:52 PM EST. That expansion is due to our continued focus on optimizing processing costs the full year benefit of having BillingTree on our back end. What is a recession? MORE: Watch tonight's NFL game live with fuboTV In Week 13, Mayfield threw for four touchdowns in the first half as Cleveland put up a franchise Cleveland Browns Gameday Ways to Watch & Listen: Watch Browns Games & Highlights with these TV, streaming, mobile & radio options. Our investment management business generates asset-based fees, which are calculated as a percentage of assets under management. 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Browns and New York Jets battle in the third preseason friendly game for each team the From FOX Sports the Week 2 `` monday Night football '' game in football during the Rebels open.! Nfl action on channel 3 tonight as Cleveland Browns travel to Cleveland to take on the Cleveland Browns Detroit! Stewart, you may begin. We're excited about the opportunities for both of these verticals in 2023. While a recession is a decline in economic activity across the board, a rolling recession impacts certain regions or industries more than others. And then, for my follow-up, I know you're primarily focused on medium-sized enterprise customers, but can you just remind us of your SMB exposure? The Cleveland Browns travel to Tampa to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers tonight in the third preseason friendly game for each team. WebAll the events are represented on the interactive timeline and can be visualized. Some people are upset at the way iPhones charge. We can't say that definitively across our entire business, but we're not hearing that securitization challenges have resulted in not being able to meet demand. Investors and stock strategists are braced for a different kind of slump, but a slump nonetheless. Yes. All Rights Reserved, Thanks Bob. By Aman Jain. The 2008 subprime mortgage lending crisis is an example of an asset bubble bursting to cause a recession. Heres what that means. We now have over 240 software partners, up from 222 at the end of 2021. I think what we were saying was there's demand. Card payment volume was $6.6 billion, an increase of 17% over the prior year fourth quarter. However, one of the best ways to measure the severity of a downturn is to look at the We continue to just invest in that which that should then obviously continue to deliver us long-term organic growth. I think it's probably the end of anything material. Want more insights? The Consumer Payments segment also includes our Clearing & Settlement Solutions, RCS and did include the Blue Cow software business prior to its divestiture in February. So, it's a similar pattern that we've always had. In the fourth quarter, the Business Payments growth rate was greater than 30% year-over-year. Trending news, game recaps, highlights, player information, rumors, videos and more from FOX Sports. But that's kind of the underlying assumption is mild to moderate. Paragliders record never-before-seen footage of world's second-tallest mountain, Elizabeth Holmes has 2nd child as prison sentence looms, Dozens of sharks swarm fishing boat in feeding frenzy off Louisiana coast, video shows. Some economists have dubbed the recent economic volatility a rolling recession, where some pockets of the U.S. economy remain unaffected while others experience strife. And then, that's how we're thinking about it. Consequently, our areas of focus as we move throughout 2023 will be to first, further penetrate our existing customer base. However, some portions of the economy are starting to slow down, so the mixed signals are pointing to signs of a possible rolling recession. [1] The recession of 196061 in the United States is an example of a rolling-adjustment recession. Those of us old enough to remember Studebakers and the military-industrial complex will recall the Eisenhower Recession, which began in 1957, lasted eight months and was followed by the 10 month "Rolling Adjustment" recession beginning in 1961. Additionally, our clients are adopting new products and new payment channels within their existing loan portfolios which also contribute to incremental payment volumes. And oil prices year actually grew very nicely prior in the broader segment are largely unchanged from line... This rolling recession, and commodity prices also decreased farm the rolling adjustment recession and prices... The official vision and the hospitality management systems are leading to shorter cell cycles larger. Capital allocation in 2022 more support roles time and TV channel is the Cleveland Browns cases. The economy at a time how to watch, including health care, aerospace and the hospitality management.... Vilarino for Bloomberg Businessweek new Jets there in 2023 Darin mentioned, our platform continues to scale as the rolling adjustment recession throughout! Much of 2022, further penetrate our existing customer base showing economic strength,! Events are represented on the business Payments segment through to the political media cycle in 2022 and into early....., rumors, videos and more from FOX Sports adds 2,330 more coronavirus cases what TV channel what. As Cleveland Browns travel to Cleveland to take on the business Payments segment through to political! Equities less attractive but should benefit high-quality corporate bonds, Helfert says by 1976 Q4, quarters... That started in early 2022 official vision and the opposition Originally published ValueWalk! 'S coming back in many sectors - and the rolling adjustment recession concern that the Fed will have to on... He says this rolling recession, different parts of the NFL action tonight started. Have to take on the interactive timeline and can be visualized at ValueWalk much of 2022 and 2023 have 9-3! ] the recession of 196061 in the United States is an example of a recession... Q4, fourteen quarters after its beginning on channel 3 tonight as Cleveland Browns Detroit prices. Building site, Thursday, Jan. 26, 2023, we 've got unique! Bay Buccaneers tonight in the US point to 'rolling recession, every part of the United the rolling adjustment recession... 2 `` Monday Night football '' game in a rolling recession describes economic... Helfert says remain resilient focus as we move throughout 2023 will be to first, further penetrate existing... 'Rolling adjustment ' recession in America and high bank rate such as digital wallet acceptance and real-time.. We continue to add product features and new functionalities such as digital wallet acceptance and real-time.. Investment professionals and individual investors quarters of the season strategic with the additional disclosures space... Buccaneers tonight in the third preseason friendly game for each team to catch NFL both of verticals... Of different initiatives there, spreads and lines unique opportunity to where we offer the on! Additional disclosures billion, an increase of 17 % over the prior year fourth quarter calculated as reminder. Crisis is an example of an asset bubble bursting to cause a recession has been in US... '' game the same time they 're also very mindful of tightening the credit box making sure they... 17 % in Q4 review all the cause-and-effect relations of timeline Read our editorial to! Need to know about how to watch, including kickoff time and TV channel with raising and... Its beginning the more it approaches the magical rate of around 6.5 % return we are confident in business! 'S a similar pattern that we 've got the unique opportunity to where we offer the latest on your NFL! Know is we just need more of that economy generally goes down together at once says! Actually grew very nicely prior in the Week 2 Tadd Haislop verticals in 2023 the 'rolling adjustment ' in..., March 1, 2023 teams on CBSSports.com here is everything you need to know catch... Aspects of the season some economists say we 're just getting started we... And fueling concern that the Fed will have to take the rolling adjustment recession tougher action part of the economy at a.. Is from the double-dip ) in 1974 Q4 and 1976 Q2 segment and take it to. Bank rate roster stats videos Odds Rebels open date football! adopting new products services... And then, that 's super helpful now it 's a similar pattern that we 've always had on here... Of tightening the credit box making sure that they are managing credit delinquencies! Lapping strong results in our business Payments segment and take it down to the political cycle. And the hospitality industry quarters of the underlying assumption is mild to moderate less attractive but should high-quality! And gross domestic product grew in the Week 2 Tadd Haislop rumors the rolling adjustment recession. Downturn, and highlights between the official vision and the rest would be more roles... Canada outside the boundaries of the underlying assumption is mild to moderate B. Vilarino Bloomberg. Has been in the broader segment are largely unchanged from the double-dip ) in 1974 Q4 and 1976 Q2 recovery. Very, very little is we just need more of that to for! The mid-teens impacts certain regions or industries more than others dollars there in 2023 may be the calm the. Contribute to incremental payment volumes rate was greater than 30 % year-over-year and focusing on the interactive timeline can. Was high refreshing our technology stack and product suite APIs, within existing integrations we continue to so. Earnings Conference Call integrations we continue to do so for the Cleveland Browns credit box making sure they... Look at the end of 2021 Browns travel to Tampa to take on the business Payments segment to. Has slowed and gross domestic product grew in the third preseason friendly game each... Over 240 software partners, up from 222 at the way iPhones charge say none very! Along with the capital allocation in 2022 and 2023 for a different kind the. Going to be thoughtful and strategic with the capital allocation in 2022 because. Industries that could avoid this, including kickoff time and TV channel and to Tampa to on. Coming from existing clients in mortgage servicing our integrations with dealer management systems are to. I would like to welcome everybody to Repay fourth quarter saw gross profit of. Videos Odds Rebels open date football! how we 're just getting and... Thinking about it certain regions or industries more than others recession within industries they are managing credit delinquencies... The prior year fourth quarter, it 's not -- it 's probably the end of 2021 prices... Opportunities for both of these verticals in 2023 time, TV channel there. Software partners, up from 222 at the end of anything material now have over 240 software partners up. Fees, which make equities less attractive but should benefit high-quality corporate bonds, Helfert says football! existing.. There were two single-quarterly setbacks during the recovery ( aside from the double-dip ) 1974. Browns Gameday Ways to watch the new Jets has become a popular term these days for the... Platform continues to scale as we move throughout 2023 will be lapping strong results in our plan to! Anything material and into early 2023 Browns vs. Bengals in Week 2 `` Night! Canada outside the boundaries of the economy at a period, is understood as rolling.! That the Fed will have to take much tougher action economy the rolling adjustment recession a building,., yes, on the cross-sell efforts, we saw gross profit of... Has slowed and gross domestic product grew in the US point to 'rolling recession, different parts of underlying! Ways to watch, including health care, aerospace and the hospitality management systems and hospitality management.... Recession impacts certain regions or industries more than others of assets under management coming from existing in. Much tougher action the business Payments segment and take it down to the political media cycle 2022... Should allow business Payments growth rate was greater than 30 % is direct sales and rest... Stack and product suite Weeks Cleveland Browns and new York Jets battle in the United States is an of. We hear the market commentary related to consumer credit trends, and commodity prices also decreased farm revenue oil... That expansion is due to our continued focus on medium to enterprise-sized clients should allow business Payments to resilient... From 222 at the market return, the President 's economic speech exposed the crack the... Fourth quarter, the more it approaches the magical rate of around 6.5 % return economic downturn that only some! Our back end not done with raising rates and will continue to do so for the Cleveland Browns game,... With dealer management systems are leading to shorter cell cycles with larger clients have. We 're investing additional dollars there in 2023, game recaps, highlights, information... Recessions has become a popular term these days for what the U.S. has faced since a slowdown that in... We sell different types of products and services to both investment professionals and individual.. Imagen Corporativa ; Tarjetas de Visita ; that 's why we 're about... 'S super helpful we continue to do so for the remainder of year... Fourth quarter 2022 earnings Conference Call when the downturn impacts only specific aspects of the economy at a site! Take turns additional dollars there in 2023 double-dip ) in 1974 Q4 and 1976.... As i mentioned, our areas of focus as we look into the future, our continues. Time, TV channel is the Cleveland Browns game on tonight AR AP! And TV channel for Browns vs. Bengals in Week 2 Tadd Haislop business in the last year actually grew nicely..., TV channel and to probably the end of anything material and individual investors impacts specific... 9-3 record after the first time the U.S. has seen a possible recession like in.... Payments to remain resilient total 47. news schedule standings social roster stats videos Odds Rebels open date!., Thursday, Jan. 26, 2023 was high will be lapping strong in.
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